PHNOM PENH: The US-China rivalry and growing fears of a new North Korean nuclear test will loom over a meeting this week of Southeast Asian leaders attended by US President Joe Biden.
Leaders from the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (Asean) will meet in Phnom Penh from Friday, kicking off a diplomatic blitz in the region that also takes in next week’s G20 in Bali and an APEC summit in Bangkok.
Biden’s administration has identified China as the only global rival to the United States, saying Beijing is attempting to remold the world order in “its own authoritarian model.”
Making his second trip to Asia this year off the back of bruising midterm elections at home, Biden faces another tough battle to woo Asean leaders, many of whom are wary of overtly taking sides against a giant neighbor and key trading partner.
Chinese Premier Li Keqiang stole a diplomatic march on Biden, arriving in Phnom Penh late Tuesday for talks with Cambodian leader Hun Sen.
At a summit with Asean leaders in Washington in May, Biden pledged $150 million in support for Southeast Asian nations — dwarfed by the $1.5 billion that China promised to the region last year in just Covid aid.
The US-China relationship is deteriorating over issues including Taiwan and alleged rights abuses in Xinjiang, and other Western governments have complained about Chinese activities on their soil, including harassment of dissidents.
Chinese President Xi Jinping has said Beijing and Washington must “find ways to get along,” but at the same time has continued to enforce a far more muscular foreign policy that shows no deference to the United States.
Xi is expected to attend the G20 summit in Bali, where he will have his first face-to-face meeting with Biden on its sidelines.
“China will seek to consolidate her relationships with Southeast Asian countries, in order to either shore up regional support for Beijing or make sure that they do not end up being on the US side against China,” analyst Yongwook Ryu of Singapore’s Lee Kuan Yew School of Public Policy said.
The war in Ukraine is also likely to weigh on leaders’ minds at Asean.
Kyiv will sign a “treaty of amity and cooperation” with Asean on Thursday, a first step toward establishing formal relations with the bloc.
Cambodia has said it is considering a request by President Volodymyr Zelenskyy to address the meeting by video link.
China has refused to join Western sanctions on Russia, and Washington has accused Beijing of providing diplomatic cover for Moscow’s invasion of Ukraine.
Russia has been invited to the Asean summit but it is not clear who will represent it.
Leaders are also expected to discuss the growing crisis on the Korean peninsula, where Pyongyang carried out a spate of weapons tests last week — including an intercontinental ballistic missile.
Asean leaders will also tackle Myanmar, where bloody conflict rages between the junta, which seized power in February last year and civilian militias trying to oust it.
Foreign ministers from the 10-member bloc, which has led so far fruitless diplomatic efforts to resolve the crisis.
President Ferdinand Marcos Jr. will attend the summit to be held in Phnom Penh from November 8 to 13.
Foreign Assistant Secretary Daniel Espiritu earlier said that the post-pandemic economic recovery is at the top of the priorities of Marcos during the summits.
“With regards to Myanmar, we are very much on the forefront of the call for the implementation of the five-point consensus. On Ukraine, we are of course calling for the cessation of hostilities and the return of concerned parties to the negotiating table,” Espiritu said during a pre-departure press briefing.
“The South China Sea will always be there because we always carry that in meetings in international fora,” he added.
Marcos is scheduled to meet Cambodian Prime Minister Hun Sen and South Korean President Yoon Suk-yeol on the sidelines of the summit.